Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the late-September climatological average of 28–29°C and follows a period of slightly above-normal readings earlier in the month. Market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Minor upward revisions in some ensembles support the secondary probability on 31°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent unexpected marine layer strengthening. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
30°C 59%
31°C 35%
29°C 6%
32°C 4%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
59%
31°C
35%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 59%
31°C 35%
29°C 6%
32°C 4%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
59%
31°C
35%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a daytime high of 29–30°C in Tel Aviv on September 22 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the late-September climatological average of 28–29°C and follows a period of slightly above-normal readings earlier in the month. Market-implied odds heavily favor 30°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant heat advection or cooling fronts expected in the next 48 hours. Minor upward revisions in some ensembles support the secondary probability on 31°C, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent unexpected marine layer strengthening. Updated model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania