United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of regional institutions, strong performance in prior cycles with 29 of 40 seats in 2021, and the parallel voting system favoring the incumbent party across party lists and single-member districts. Recent court rulings removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting opposition options ahead of the September 18–20 vote that coincides with national legislative elections. Trader consensus at 97.5% for United Russia reflects these structural advantages and limited viable challengers. Late shifts in single-member district outcomes or unusually high turnout for registered parties like CPRF or LDPR remain the primary scenarios that could alter the result, though historical patterns indicate low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUnited Russia 97.7%
Yabloko 1.9%
LDPR 1.1%
CPRF <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
98%
Yabloko
2%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 97.7%
Yabloko 1.9%
LDPR 1.1%
CPRF <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$2,366 Wol.
98%
Yabloko
$1,099 Wol.
2%
LDPR
$799 Wol.
1%
CPRF
$753 Wol.
1%
A Just Russia
$732 Wol.
<1%
New People
$631 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of regional institutions, strong performance in prior cycles with 29 of 40 seats in 2021, and the parallel voting system favoring the incumbent party across party lists and single-member districts. Recent court rulings removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting opposition options ahead of the September 18–20 vote that coincides with national legislative elections. Trader consensus at 97.5% for United Russia reflects these structural advantages and limited viable challengers. Late shifts in single-member district outcomes or unusually high turnout for registered parties like CPRF or LDPR remain the primary scenarios that could alter the result, though historical patterns indicate low likelihood.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,381Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of regional institutions, strong performance in prior cycles with 29 of 40 seats in 2021, and the parallel voting system favoring the incumbent party across party lists and single-member districts. Recent court rulings removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting opposition options ahead of the September 18–20 vote that coincides with national legislative elections. Trader consensus at 97.5% for United Russia reflects these structural advantages and limited viable challengers. Late shifts in single-member district outcomes or unusually high turnout for registered parties like CPRF or LDPR remain the primary scenarios that could alter the result, though historical patterns indicate low likelihood.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Kaliningrad Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Kaliningrad Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Wolumen
$6,381Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 11:55 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the Kaliningrad Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of regional institutions, strong performance in prior cycles with 29 of 40 seats in 2021, and the parallel voting system favoring the incumbent party across party lists and single-member districts. Recent court rulings removed Yabloko from the ballot, further limiting opposition options ahead of the September 18–20 vote that coincides with national legislative elections. Trader consensus at 97.5% for United Russia reflects these structural advantages and limited viable challengers. Late shifts in single-member district outcomes or unusually high turnout for registered parties like CPRF or LDPR remain the primary scenarios that could alter the result, though historical patterns indicate low likelihood.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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