Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,083 Wol.
$289,083 Wol.
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
55%
INC
45%
BJP
1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,083 Wol.
$289,083 Wol.
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
$36,066 Wol.
55%
INC
$35,015 Wol.
45%
BJP
$61,565 Wol.
1%
BSP
$13,303 Wol.
<1%
CPI
$29,090 Wol.
<1%
JD(S)
$24,409 Wol.
<1%
RSP
$14,096 Wol.
<1%
KEC(M)
$13,616 Wol.
<1%
NCP
$46,980 Wol.
<1%
IUML
$14,943 Wol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$289,083Data zakończenia
Apr 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Wolumen
$289,083Data zakończenia
Apr 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polling in Kerala's 140-seat Legislative Assembly election concluded April 9 with over 78% voter turnout, fueling trader consensus pricing CPI(M)-led LDF at 54.5% to secure a majority versus INC-led UDF at 45%, mirroring viral post-poll surveys like Pulse of People (LDF 66 seats, UDF 62) despite pre-poll projections of UDF surges amid LDF anti-incumbency. The bipolar contest persists due to alternating government tradition challenged by CM Pinarayi Vijayan's bid for a third term, organizational edges, and silent voters historically upending exit polls. Recent postal ballot discrepancies alleged by government employee unions prompted Kerala High Court scrutiny (hearing April 21), alongside bogus voting probes, while swing constituencies and minority vote consolidation could tip outcomes before May 4 counting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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