Forecasts indicate clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent showers will promote strong nighttime radiational cooling in Beijing, driving trader consensus toward a 16–18°C minimum on August 30. Clear conditions allow efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while low dew points and calm to light winds limit mixing and moisture retention that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Model spreads in exact wind timing and residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering between 16°C (26.5%), 17°C (33%), and 18°C (31%), with historical late-August climatology around 19–20°C lows providing context for the slight downward tilt in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C or higher 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
15%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
32%
18°C
30%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
38%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C or higher 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
15%
14°C
$0 Wol.
49%
15°C
$0 Wol.
49%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
32%
18°C
$0 Wol.
30%
19°C
$0 Wol.
49%
20°C
$0 Wol.
26%
21°C
$153 Wol.
8%
22°C
$5 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts indicate clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent showers will promote strong nighttime radiational cooling in Beijing, driving trader consensus toward a 16–18°C minimum on August 30. Clear conditions allow efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while low dew points and calm to light winds limit mixing and moisture retention that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Model spreads in exact wind timing and residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering between 16°C (26.5%), 17°C (33%), and 18°C (31%), with historical late-August climatology around 19–20°C lows providing context for the slight downward tilt in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$168Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts indicate clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent showers will promote strong nighttime radiational cooling in Beijing, driving trader consensus toward a 16–18°C minimum on August 30. Clear conditions allow efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while low dew points and calm to light winds limit mixing and moisture retention that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Model spreads in exact wind timing and residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering between 16°C (26.5%), 17°C (33%), and 18°C (31%), with historical late-August climatology around 19–20°C lows providing context for the slight downward tilt in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$168Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts indicate clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent showers will promote strong nighttime radiational cooling in Beijing, driving trader consensus toward a 16–18°C minimum on August 30. Clear conditions allow efficient longwave heat loss from the surface, while low dew points and calm to light winds limit mixing and moisture retention that would otherwise moderate temperatures. Model spreads in exact wind timing and residual cloud cover explain the tight clustering between 16°C (26.5%), 17°C (33%), and 18°C (31%), with historical late-August climatology around 19–20°C lows providing context for the slight downward tilt in implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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