A polar air mass advected northward from Antarctica is driving the coldest conditions of the period into Buenos Aires on September 6, with southerly winds enhancing advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional models indicate minimum temperatures near 2 °C in the city, with potential for 0 °C or slightly below in suburban areas due to greater exposure and lower urban heat retention; wind speeds of 15–25 km/h will further depress the wind-chill index toward or below freezing. Ensemble spread and minor differences in front timing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 0–2 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or delayed clearing could limit the drop to 4–6 °C. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. local observation will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
8°C or higher 59%
1°C 29%
-1°C 28%
2°C 26%
-2°C or below
17%
-1°C
28%
0°C
23%
1°C
29%
2°C
26%
3°C
25%
4°C
23%
5°C
17%
6°C
19%
7°C
15%
8°C or higher
59%
8°C or higher 59%
1°C 29%
-1°C 28%
2°C 26%
-2°C or below
17%
-1°C
28%
0°C
23%
1°C
29%
2°C
26%
3°C
25%
4°C
23%
5°C
17%
6°C
19%
7°C
15%
8°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A polar air mass advected northward from Antarctica is driving the coldest conditions of the period into Buenos Aires on September 6, with southerly winds enhancing advection and clear skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional models indicate minimum temperatures near 2 °C in the city, with potential for 0 °C or slightly below in suburban areas due to greater exposure and lower urban heat retention; wind speeds of 15–25 km/h will further depress the wind-chill index toward or below freezing. Ensemble spread and minor differences in front timing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 0–2 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or delayed clearing could limit the drop to 4–6 °C. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. local observation will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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