Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 4?
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
40%
30°C
37%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 37%
31°C 11%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$80 Wol.
1%
24°C
$124 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$11 Wol.
1%
26°C
$11 Wol.
3%
27°C
$102 Wol.
4%
28°C
$99 Wol.
9%
29°C
$247 Wol.
40%
30°C
$610 Wol.
37%
31°C
$24 Wol.
11%
32°C
$193 Wol.
3%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,501Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,501Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models like GFS and European guidance converge on a high of 29–30°C for Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies, weak high pressure, and westerly flow that favors subsidence warming and low humidity. This positioning explains the near-even split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (36.5%) outcomes, with traders weighing small differences in peak timing, urban heat-island effects, and model spread around the daily maximum. Conditions remain well above the 21.6°C climatological average and approach the 30.9°C all-time record, though increasing model uncertainty beyond 48 hours and potential minor cloud or wind shifts could tip the exact value. Updated runs from the DWD and ECMWF over the next day will likely refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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