**Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 3 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (26.5%).** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based outputs and regional models, project afternoon highs of approximately 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 7–11 mph and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–6%). These conditions support typical late-summer surface heating without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The September 3 climatological average high is 21.8°C, so the expected readings represent a modest positive anomaly driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy skies allowing sufficient insolation. Model consensus shows little spread, with peaks concentrated in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent short-range updates have remained stable, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 24–26°C band while assigning very low probability to extremes outside 23–27°C. Resolution will depend on the official Munich station reading (typically the daily maximum at the primary observing site), with any last-minute model shifts or unexpected cloud cover the primary variables that could nudge the outcome within the favored range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 3?
25°C 47%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
47%
26°C
27%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$215 Wol.
1%
21°C
$68 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$248 Wol.
2%
23°C
$326 Wol.
5%
24°C
$1,232 Wol.
19%
25°C
$927 Wol.
47%
26°C
$1,569 Wol.
27%
27°C
$1,662 Wol.
8%
28°C
$346 Wol.
1%
29°C
$132 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$304 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 3 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (26.5%).** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based outputs and regional models, project afternoon highs of approximately 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 7–11 mph and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–6%). These conditions support typical late-summer surface heating without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses.
The September 3 climatological average high is 21.8°C, so the expected readings represent a modest positive anomaly driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy skies allowing sufficient insolation. Model consensus shows little spread, with peaks concentrated in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent short-range updates have remained stable, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 24–26°C band while assigning very low probability to extremes outside 23–27°C. Resolution will depend on the official Munich station reading (typically the daily maximum at the primary observing site), with any last-minute model shifts or unexpected cloud cover the primary variables that could nudge the outcome within the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,029Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 3 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (26.5%).** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based outputs and regional models, project afternoon highs of approximately 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 7–11 mph and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–6%). These conditions support typical late-summer surface heating without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses.
The September 3 climatological average high is 21.8°C, so the expected readings represent a modest positive anomaly driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy skies allowing sufficient insolation. Model consensus shows little spread, with peaks concentrated in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent short-range updates have remained stable, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 24–26°C band while assigning very low probability to extremes outside 23–27°C. Resolution will depend on the official Munich station reading (typically the daily maximum at the primary observing site), with any last-minute model shifts or unexpected cloud cover the primary variables that could nudge the outcome within the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,029Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather models indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 3 most likely in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (26.5%).** Forecasts from multiple sources, including GFS-based outputs and regional models, project afternoon highs of approximately 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds around 7–11 mph and minimal precipitation risk (under 5–6%). These conditions support typical late-summer surface heating without strong advection of warmer or cooler air masses. The September 3 climatological average high is 21.8°C, so the expected readings represent a modest positive anomaly driven by clear-to-partly-cloudy skies allowing sufficient insolation. Model consensus shows little spread, with peaks concentrated in the mid-afternoon before cooling overnight. Recent short-range updates have remained stable, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow 24–26°C band while assigning very low probability to extremes outside 23–27°C. Resolution will depend on the official Munich station reading (typically the daily maximum at the primary observing site), with any last-minute model shifts or unexpected cloud cover the primary variables that could nudge the outcome within the favored range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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