**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, and the Met Office, converge on minimums around 16°C, consistent with spring climatology where average September lows range 10–12°C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings higher. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from subtle shifts in steering patterns, potential Atlantic moisture, and local topographic effects that can alter radiative cooling rates overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any intraday temperature trends against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise official minimum recorded by monitoring stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 22?
12°C or below 87%
22°C or higher 87%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
12°C or below
87%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
87%
12°C or below 87%
22°C or higher 87%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
12°C or below
87%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
23%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 22 indicate overnight lows near 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds.** Multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug, Globalmeteo, and the Met Office, converge on minimums around 16°C, consistent with spring climatology where average September lows range 10–12°C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings higher. The near-even market split between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty from subtle shifts in steering patterns, potential Atlantic moisture, and local topographic effects that can alter radiative cooling rates overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs and any intraday temperature trends against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the precise official minimum recorded by monitoring stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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