Persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover across Chengdu through September 23–24 are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. These conditions suppress both sharp drops below 17°C and spikes above 25°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–20°C under similar moist, overcast regimes, while the current steering pattern from a nearby trough favors continued weak precipitation and stable boundary-layer moisture. The next 24–48 hours of model runs and official observations will determine whether any brief clearing allows slightly lower readings before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 24?
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
98%
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 98%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C
$0 Wol.
39%
19°C
$0 Wol.
39%
20°C
$0 Wol.
40%
21°C
$0 Wol.
23%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
39%
26°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover across Chengdu through September 23–24 are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. These conditions suppress both sharp drops below 17°C and spikes above 25°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–20°C under similar moist, overcast regimes, while the current steering pattern from a nearby trough favors continued weak precipitation and stable boundary-layer moisture. The next 24–48 hours of model runs and official observations will determine whether any brief clearing allows slightly lower readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover across Chengdu through September 23–24 are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. These conditions suppress both sharp drops below 17°C and spikes above 25°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–20°C under similar moist, overcast regimes, while the current steering pattern from a nearby trough favors continued weak precipitation and stable boundary-layer moisture. The next 24–48 hours of model runs and official observations will determine whether any brief clearing allows slightly lower readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover across Chengdu through September 23–24 are moderating overnight radiative cooling and keeping the minimum temperature anchored near 19–21°C according to multiple forecast models. These conditions suppress both sharp drops below 17°C and spikes above 25°C, aligning with the near-even market split between 16°C-or-below and 26°C-or-higher outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical lows of 18–20°C under similar moist, overcast regimes, while the current steering pattern from a nearby trough favors continued weak precipitation and stable boundary-layer moisture. The next 24–48 hours of model runs and official observations will determine whether any brief clearing allows slightly lower readings before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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