**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 1?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Wol.
$15,619 Wol.
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,619 Wol.
$15,619 Wol.
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
$541 Wol.
No
17°C
$532 Wol.
No
18°C
$1,392 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,302 Wol.
No
20°C
$893 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,040 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,473 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$595 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,477 Wol.
No
25°C
$792 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,582 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,619Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$15,619Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory data confirms a daily minimum temperature of 22.1°C at its headquarters on May 1, 2026—the gold standard for resolution—driving 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders price in verified observations from automated sensors.** Morning and evening bulletins reported this as the lowest reading over 24 hours, amid mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds that limited radiative cooling, consistent with HKO's pre-event forecasts of 21–22°C lows. May climatology typically features 23–25°C minima in Hong Kong's subtropical regime, making this mildly cooler but unremarkable. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions (historical rate under 0.1%), though final monthly summaries pose negligible risk to the established record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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