**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, reflecting consensus from Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 26–31°C daytime with overnight minima near 25°C.** Northwest winds associated with Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon are maintaining stable conditions, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24.7°C, but current model guidance and recent observations indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or a sharper wind shift promoting greater nocturnal cooling, though official agency updates through the evening should confirm resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?
25°C 96.5%
24°C 3%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
$17,736 Wol.
NOWE
$17,736 Wol.
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
97%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 96.5%
24°C 3%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
NOWE
$17,736 Wol.
NOWE
$17,736 Wol.
Sep 3, 2026
20°C or below
$469 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$463 Wol.
1%
22°C
$787 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$911 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,681 Wol.
3%
25°C
$2,995 Wol.
97%
26°C
$5,434 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,084 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,396 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,047 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$470 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, reflecting consensus from Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 26–31°C daytime with overnight minima near 25°C.** Northwest winds associated with Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon are maintaining stable conditions, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24.7°C, but current model guidance and recent observations indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or a sharper wind shift promoting greater nocturnal cooling, though official agency updates through the evening should confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,736Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, reflecting consensus from Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 26–31°C daytime with overnight minima near 25°C.** Northwest winds associated with Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon are maintaining stable conditions, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24.7°C, but current model guidance and recent observations indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or a sharper wind shift promoting greater nocturnal cooling, though official agency updates through the evening should confirm resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,736Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, reflecting consensus from Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 26–31°C daytime with overnight minima near 25°C.** Northwest winds associated with Tropical Cyclone Sadel and the northeast monsoon are maintaining stable conditions, limiting radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 24.7°C, but current model guidance and recent observations indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected clear skies or a sharper wind shift promoting greater nocturnal cooling, though official agency updates through the evening should confirm resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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