Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely settle near 15–16°C under clearing high pressure and light northeast winds, supporting the market's leading 49% implied probability for 16°C or higher. After cooler, rainy conditions on September 23, the pattern has shifted toward drier air and reduced cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while preventing significant cold advection. Seasonal norms for late September feature overnight lows around 15–17°C, and current guidance shows no unusual blocking or northerly surge that would drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus across GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local observations against residual model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model outputs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 25?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
98%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 98%
7°C 40%
8°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
7°C
$0 Wol.
40%
8°C
$0 Wol.
40%
9°C
$0 Wol.
40%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely settle near 15–16°C under clearing high pressure and light northeast winds, supporting the market's leading 49% implied probability for 16°C or higher. After cooler, rainy conditions on September 23, the pattern has shifted toward drier air and reduced cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while preventing significant cold advection. Seasonal norms for late September feature overnight lows around 15–17°C, and current guidance shows no unusual blocking or northerly surge that would drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus across GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local observations against residual model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model outputs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely settle near 15–16°C under clearing high pressure and light northeast winds, supporting the market's leading 49% implied probability for 16°C or higher. After cooler, rainy conditions on September 23, the pattern has shifted toward drier air and reduced cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while preventing significant cold advection. Seasonal norms for late September feature overnight lows around 15–17°C, and current guidance shows no unusual blocking or northerly surge that would drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus across GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local observations against residual model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model outputs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's minimum temperature on September 25 will likely settle near 15–16°C under clearing high pressure and light northeast winds, supporting the market's leading 49% implied probability for 16°C or higher. After cooler, rainy conditions on September 23, the pattern has shifted toward drier air and reduced cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling while preventing significant cold advection. Seasonal norms for late September feature overnight lows around 15–17°C, and current guidance shows no unusual blocking or northerly surge that would drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus across GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and local observations against residual model spread on exact boundary-layer mixing. Updated model outputs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania