**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jinan on August 26?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 Wol.
$5,043 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$5,043 Wol.
$5,043 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, driving the market’s near-certain consensus (99.5% implied probability) on a minimum of 22 °C or higher for August 26.** Multiple official and ensemble forecasts, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, project a nighttime low near 25–26 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with the ongoing heatwave where daytime maxima have reached 34–35 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further suppress temperature drops. The outcome would be challenged only by an unanticipated rapid clearing of clouds or an unforecasted cold-air intrusion, both considered low-probability events this late in the season given model consensus and current steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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