Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 21 will likely reach 27°C overnight, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent hot, humid conditions with westerly and northwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 26°C. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns and lack of incoming frontal systems or monsoon surges support limited downside risk, though model consensus on precise nocturnal cooling leaves room for the 39% odds on 23°C or below. Daytime highs near 37–38°C reduce chances of elevated minima above 30°C. Updated model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Karachi on September 21?
23°C or below 88%
33°C or higher 88%
27°C 49%
28°C 40%
23°C or below
88%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
49%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
16%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
88%
23°C or below 88%
33°C or higher 88%
27°C 49%
28°C 40%
23°C or below
88%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C
39%
27°C
49%
28°C
23%
29°C
37%
30°C
16%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 21 will likely reach 27°C overnight, aligning with the market's leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent hot, humid conditions with westerly and northwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate cooling, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 26°C. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns and lack of incoming frontal systems or monsoon surges support limited downside risk, though model consensus on precise nocturnal cooling leaves room for the 39% odds on 23°C or below. Daytime highs near 37–38°C reduce chances of elevated minima above 30°C. Updated model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department briefings ahead of resolution will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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