Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 5?
Lowest temperature in London on June 5?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Wol.
$36,837 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$36,837 Wol.
$36,837 Wol.
Jun 5, 2026
6°C or below
$3,645 Wol.
No
7°C
$469 Wol.
No
8°C
$1,077 Wol.
No
9°C
$6,807 Wol.
No
10°C
$3,171 Wol.
No
11°C
$2,013 Wol.
No
12°C
$5,179 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$3,518 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,592 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,939 Wol.
No
16°C or higher
$6,425 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Wolumen
$36,837Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$36,837Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London’s overnight minimum on June 5 will register near 12°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover, aligning with early-June climatological norms of 10–13°C lows. This consensus has produced the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for exactly 12°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and minimal model spread. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling event or rapid frontal passage that drops readings to 11°C or below, though current guidance shows no such shift before resolution at noon UTC.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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