Recent forecast model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius under typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above historical September averages near 25°C. Trader consensus around 50% across thresholds near 25–26°C reflects this narrow range and inherent model spread in tropical boundary-layer processes, with resolution hinging on precise PAGASA or official station readings. Updated model outputs and any late steering pattern shifts could refine the outcome before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 24?
21°C or below 99%
31°C or higher 97%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
97%
21°C or below 99%
31°C or higher 97%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
99%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
21%
26°C
$0 Wol.
21%
27°C
$0 Wol.
40%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
39%
30°C
$0 Wol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius under typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above historical September averages near 25°C. Trader consensus around 50% across thresholds near 25–26°C reflects this narrow range and inherent model spread in tropical boundary-layer processes, with resolution hinging on precise PAGASA or official station readings. Updated model outputs and any late steering pattern shifts could refine the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius under typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above historical September averages near 25°C. Trader consensus around 50% across thresholds near 25–26°C reflects this narrow range and inherent model spread in tropical boundary-layer processes, with resolution hinging on precise PAGASA or official station readings. Updated model outputs and any late steering pattern shifts could refine the outcome before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate Manila's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius under typical late-monsoon conditions, with high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limiting radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected overnight further moderate temperature drops, keeping the daily minimum above historical September averages near 25°C. Trader consensus around 50% across thresholds near 25–26°C reflects this narrow range and inherent model spread in tropical boundary-layer processes, with resolution hinging on precise PAGASA or official station readings. Updated model outputs and any late steering pattern shifts could refine the outcome before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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