Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on July 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$25,354 Wol.
$25,354 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$25,354 Wol.
$25,354 Wol.
Jul 15, 2026
71°F or below
$669 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$1,455 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$1,674 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$1,574 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$6,789 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$7,653 Wol.
Yes
82-83°F
$2,358 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$979 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$741 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$440 Wol.
No
90°F or higher
$1,022 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,354Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,354Data zakończenia
Jul 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-range forecast uncertainty around Miami's overnight low for July 15 centers on model spread in boundary-layer cooling under typical subtropical July conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensembles placing the minimum near 78–81°F. Sea-breeze circulation, variable Atlantic moisture, and potential nocturnal cloud cover or scattered showers can each alter radiative cooling rates by several degrees, keeping multiple temperature bins competitive. Historical July lows at Miami International Airport average about 77–78°F, providing context for the current market-implied clustering, while upcoming model runs and evening observations will refine the final reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania