Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 15–16°C on September 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied extremes of 9°C or below versus 19°C or higher, where trader consensus reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 14°C, but current mild advection from the east and stable 1020–1023 hPa surface pressure favor the middle range, with any increase in low-level humidity or reduced winds potentially lowering the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 25?
19°C or higher 98%
9°C or below 50%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
9°C or below
50%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C or higher
98%
19°C or higher 98%
9°C or below 50%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
9°C or below
50%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 15–16°C on September 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied extremes of 9°C or below versus 19°C or higher, where trader consensus reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 14°C, but current mild advection from the east and stable 1020–1023 hPa surface pressure favor the middle range, with any increase in low-level humidity or reduced winds potentially lowering the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania