Recent forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicates Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible light rain, supporting the near-even market odds between 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud thickness and wind speed—clearer skies enhance surface heat loss while increased humidity and precipitation suppress it—creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 10–14°C range. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical August minima near 11°C, noting that any shift in steering patterns or cloud timing could tip the final recorded low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
5°C or below 92%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
92%
6°C
50%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
88%
5°C or below 92%
15°C or higher 88%
6°C 50%
14°C 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
5°C or below
$15 Wol.
92%
6°C
$15 Wol.
50%
7°C
$0 Wol.
26%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$0 Wol.
26%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
27%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
26%
14°C
$10 Wol.
50%
15°C or higher
$145 Wol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicates Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible light rain, supporting the near-even market odds between 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud thickness and wind speed—clearer skies enhance surface heat loss while increased humidity and precipitation suppress it—creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 10–14°C range. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical August minima near 11°C, noting that any shift in steering patterns or cloud timing could tip the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicates Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible light rain, supporting the near-even market odds between 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud thickness and wind speed—clearer skies enhance surface heat loss while increased humidity and precipitation suppress it—creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 10–14°C range. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical August minima near 11°C, noting that any shift in steering patterns or cloud timing could tip the final recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$185Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicates Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 12–15°C under variable cloud cover, southerly winds of 3–8 m/s, and possible light rain, supporting the near-even market odds between 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher outcomes. Radiative cooling rates depend on cloud thickness and wind speed—clearer skies enhance surface heat loss while increased humidity and precipitation suppress it—creating narrow uncertainty bands around the 10–14°C range. With resolution imminent, traders weigh the latest model runs against historical August minima near 11°C, noting that any shift in steering patterns or cloud timing could tip the final recorded low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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