Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.7°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 16°C-or-higher bucket (43.5% implied probability) and 6°C-or-below (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and potential shifts in cloud cover that could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Specific-temperature outcomes clustered around 7–13°C each carry 19–25% odds, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the value of the next high-resolution model runs for refining overnight minima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
6°C or below 80%
16°C or higher 79%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
80%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
79%
6°C or below 80%
16°C or higher 79%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
80%
7°C
$0 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
24%
9°C
$0 Wol.
21%
10°C
$0 Wol.
21%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
39%
13°C
$0 Wol.
39%
14°C
$0 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.7°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 16°C-or-higher bucket (43.5% implied probability) and 6°C-or-below (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and potential shifts in cloud cover that could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Specific-temperature outcomes clustered around 7–13°C each carry 19–25% odds, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the value of the next high-resolution model runs for refining overnight minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.7°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 16°C-or-higher bucket (43.5% implied probability) and 6°C-or-below (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and potential shifts in cloud cover that could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Specific-temperature outcomes clustered around 7–13°C each carry 19–25% odds, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the value of the next high-resolution model runs for refining overnight minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and DWD models indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds and minimal overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.7°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 16°C-or-higher bucket (43.5% implied probability) and 6°C-or-below (39.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and potential shifts in cloud cover that could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Specific-temperature outcomes clustered around 7–13°C each carry 19–25% odds, underscoring the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the value of the next high-resolution model runs for refining overnight minima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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