Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$24,801 Wol.
$24,801 Wol.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$24,801 Wol.
$24,801 Wol.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
$1,591 Wol.
No
9°C
$1,335 Wol.
No
10°C
$1,380 Wol.
No
11°C
$4,459 Wol.
No
12°C
$5,173 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$4,543 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,683 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,294 Wol.
No
16°C
$628 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,009 Wol.
No
18°C or higher
$704 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,801Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$24,801Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus has converged to a 100% implied probability on 12°C as Seoul's lowest temperature on May 13, anchored by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations recording the morning minimum—typically between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time—at precisely 12°C under clear skies and light winds that minimized nocturnal cooling. This aligns with the latest short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS, which converged overnight on lows near 12°C amid climatological May norms averaging 12–16°C at Seoul's official station. Realistic challenges are minimal post-morning low, though an improbable late-evening drop below 12°C or a data revision in KMA's final daily summary could shift resolution; traders await the end-of-day report for confirmation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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