Strong consensus across multiple numerical weather prediction models supports a 27°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical patterns. Recent observations show overnight lows consistently near 27–28°C amid similar setups, aligning with climatological norms for the period. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability reflects this forecast agreement from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Realistic challenges include timing shifts in any scattered showers or unexpected clearer skies that could drop readings 1–2°C lower, though current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 95%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
95%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 95%
26°C 5%
25°C 2%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$212 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$103 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$106 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$284 Wol.
2%
26°C
$351 Wol.
5%
27°C
$2,235 Wol.
95%
28°C
$2,047 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$276 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$108 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$103 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$103 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus across multiple numerical weather prediction models supports a 27°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical patterns. Recent observations show overnight lows consistently near 27–28°C amid similar setups, aligning with climatological norms for the period. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability reflects this forecast agreement from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Realistic challenges include timing shifts in any scattered showers or unexpected clearer skies that could drop readings 1–2°C lower, though current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,927Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus across multiple numerical weather prediction models supports a 27°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical patterns. Recent observations show overnight lows consistently near 27–28°C amid similar setups, aligning with climatological norms for the period. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability reflects this forecast agreement from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Realistic challenges include timing shifts in any scattered showers or unexpected clearer skies that could drop readings 1–2°C lower, though current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,927Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Strong consensus across multiple numerical weather prediction models supports a 27°C minimum temperature in Shanghai on August 29, driven by persistent high humidity, light southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical patterns. Recent observations show overnight lows consistently near 27–28°C amid similar setups, aligning with climatological norms for the period. Trader positioning at 94.5% implied probability reflects this forecast agreement from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Realistic challenges include timing shifts in any scattered showers or unexpected clearer skies that could drop readings 1–2°C lower, though current model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviation before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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