Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a stationary autumn rain front and residual moisture from a former tropical low. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight, shifting the distribution below seasonal normals of about 21°C. Model consensus supports this range amid high humidity and overcast skies, with trader positioning reflecting the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and refined numerical model runs ahead of the overnight minimum will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
20°C 49%
19°C 22%
21°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
22%
20°C
49%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 49%
19°C 22%
21°C 18%
22°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$18 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$223 Wol.
2%
16°C
$214 Wol.
2%
17°C
$218 Wol.
2%
18°C
$62 Wol.
7%
19°C
$458 Wol.
22%
20°C
$409 Wol.
49%
21°C
$192 Wol.
18%
22°C
$42 Wol.
10%
23°C
$126 Wol.
2%
24°C or higher
$25 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a stationary autumn rain front and residual moisture from a former tropical low. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight, shifting the distribution below seasonal normals of about 21°C. Model consensus supports this range amid high humidity and overcast skies, with trader positioning reflecting the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and refined numerical model runs ahead of the overnight minimum will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,986Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a stationary autumn rain front and residual moisture from a former tropical low. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight, shifting the distribution below seasonal normals of about 21°C. Model consensus supports this range amid high humidity and overcast skies, with trader positioning reflecting the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and refined numerical model runs ahead of the overnight minimum will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,986Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Tokyo on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds associated with a stationary autumn rain front and residual moisture from a former tropical low. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote radiative cooling overnight, shifting the distribution below seasonal normals of about 21°C. Model consensus supports this range amid high humidity and overcast skies, with trader positioning reflecting the narrow spread between 19°C and 21°C outcomes. Updated JMA guidance and refined numerical model runs ahead of the overnight minimum will likely refine implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania