Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 11?
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$616 Wol.
$616 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$616 Wol.
$616 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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