A frontal boundary combined with elevated precipitable water values above the 90th climatological percentile is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of the eastern and central United States on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center outlooks indicate slight risks of excessive rainfall in the Upper Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest, with highest probabilities concentrated in the Northeast and Southeast where afternoon and overnight convection is favored. NOAA model consensus and NWS local forecasts show variable 30–90% precipitation chances depending on location, influenced by steering patterns and diurnal heating. Resolution will hinge on official gauge and radar observations meeting defined thresholds for measurable rain at specific sites. Updated short-range guidance and QPF products released throughout the day could shift localized probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on September 12?
New York, NY
27%
Los Angeles, CA
4%
Chicago, IL
7%
Houston, TX
40%
Dallas, TX
27%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
27%
Washington, DC
74%
Atlanta, GA
73%
Miami, FL
73%
Seattle, WA
74%
Boston, MA
6%
New Orleans, LA
74%
San Francisco, CA
6%
$437 Wol.
New York, NY
27%
Los Angeles, CA
4%
Chicago, IL
7%
Houston, TX
40%
Dallas, TX
27%
Phoenix, AZ
26%
Philadelphia, PA
50%
Denver, CO
27%
Washington, DC
74%
Atlanta, GA
73%
Miami, FL
73%
Seattle, WA
74%
Boston, MA
6%
New Orleans, LA
74%
San Francisco, CA
6%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...A frontal boundary combined with elevated precipitable water values above the 90th climatological percentile is driving scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions of the eastern and central United States on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service and Weather Prediction Center outlooks indicate slight risks of excessive rainfall in the Upper Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest, with highest probabilities concentrated in the Northeast and Southeast where afternoon and overnight convection is favored. NOAA model consensus and NWS local forecasts show variable 30–90% precipitation chances depending on location, influenced by steering patterns and diurnal heating. Resolution will hinge on official gauge and radar observations meeting defined thresholds for measurable rain at specific sites. Updated short-range guidance and QPF products released throughout the day could shift localized probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania