Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 11 most likely between 9–12°C under building high pressure and light winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 7–8°C while assigning meaningful weight to cooler outcomes. Clear or partly cloudy overnight conditions favor enhanced radiative cooling, with dew points near 8–10°C and minimal mixing potentially allowing surface temperatures to dip below guidance if winds remain calm. Recent model runs show modest spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and advection patterns, consistent with the 25% implied odds on 5°C or below. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10°C, providing context for traders weighing the current setup against variability in the final hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
5°C or below 54%
15°C or higher 54%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
54%
6°C
23%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
10%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
15%
13°C
8%
14°C
6%
15°C or higher
54%
5°C or below 54%
15°C or higher 54%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
54%
6°C
$45 Wol.
23%
7°C
$0 Wol.
33%
8°C
$0 Wol.
27%
9°C
$50 Wol.
10%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$60 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
15%
13°C
$0 Wol.
8%
14°C
$0 Wol.
6%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 11 most likely between 9–12°C under building high pressure and light winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 7–8°C while assigning meaningful weight to cooler outcomes. Clear or partly cloudy overnight conditions favor enhanced radiative cooling, with dew points near 8–10°C and minimal mixing potentially allowing surface temperatures to dip below guidance if winds remain calm. Recent model runs show modest spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and advection patterns, consistent with the 25% implied odds on 5°C or below. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10°C, providing context for traders weighing the current setup against variability in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 11 most likely between 9–12°C under building high pressure and light winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 7–8°C while assigning meaningful weight to cooler outcomes. Clear or partly cloudy overnight conditions favor enhanced radiative cooling, with dew points near 8–10°C and minimal mixing potentially allowing surface temperatures to dip below guidance if winds remain calm. Recent model runs show modest spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and advection patterns, consistent with the 25% implied odds on 5°C or below. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10°C, providing context for traders weighing the current setup against variability in the final hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 11 most likely between 9–12°C under building high pressure and light winds, supporting the market's clustered probabilities around 7–8°C while assigning meaningful weight to cooler outcomes. Clear or partly cloudy overnight conditions favor enhanced radiative cooling, with dew points near 8–10°C and minimal mixing potentially allowing surface temperatures to dip below guidance if winds remain calm. Recent model runs show modest spread due to subtle differences in cloud cover and advection patterns, consistent with the 25% implied odds on 5°C or below. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10°C, providing context for traders weighing the current setup against variability in the final hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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