Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies after daytime showers, with light westerly winds around 2-6 m/s limiting mixing. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9-12°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 11°C or 12°C. Dew points near 8-10°C and rising surface pressure to around 1020 hPa support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any lingering cloud cover or slightly stronger flow could push the low toward 13°C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw shows typical minima around 10-12°C, providing context for the current tight distribution. Updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key upcoming data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
12°C 50%
10°C 49%
11°C 43%
9°C or below 16%
$528 Wol.
$528 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
16%
10°C
49%
11°C
43%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
10°C 49%
11°C 43%
9°C or below 16%
$528 Wol.
$528 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$49 Wol.
16%
10°C
$0 Wol.
49%
11°C
$0 Wol.
43%
12°C
$5 Wol.
50%
13°C
$4 Wol.
50%
14°C
$30 Wol.
49%
15°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$70 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$60 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$55 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies after daytime showers, with light westerly winds around 2-6 m/s limiting mixing. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9-12°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 11°C or 12°C. Dew points near 8-10°C and rising surface pressure to around 1020 hPa support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any lingering cloud cover or slightly stronger flow could push the low toward 13°C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw shows typical minima around 10-12°C, providing context for the current tight distribution. Updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$528Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies after daytime showers, with light westerly winds around 2-6 m/s limiting mixing. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9-12°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 11°C or 12°C. Dew points near 8-10°C and rising surface pressure to around 1020 hPa support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any lingering cloud cover or slightly stronger flow could push the low toward 13°C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw shows typical minima around 10-12°C, providing context for the current tight distribution. Updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key upcoming data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$528Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under partly clearing skies after daytime showers, with light westerly winds around 2-6 m/s limiting mixing. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 9-12°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 11°C or 12°C. Dew points near 8-10°C and rising surface pressure to around 1020 hPa support efficient heat loss after sunset, while any lingering cloud cover or slightly stronger flow could push the low toward 13°C. Historical September climatology for Warsaw shows typical minima around 10-12°C, providing context for the current tight distribution. Updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key upcoming data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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