Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 13 settling near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly then southerly winds, and dew points around 20–21°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent humidity and a 20–30% chance of light rain or drizzle overnight further anchor minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with the recent cooler-than-normal early-September pattern across the Kanto region. Trader consensus at 46% for 21°C and 36.5% for 22°C reflects genuine model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official Tokyo station reading. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and the next model cycle will likely tighten the distribution before the 24-hour period ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
21°C 46%
22°C 33%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
46%
22°C
33%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 46%
22°C 33%
20°C 10%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
$110 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$49 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Wol.
3%
20°C
$96 Wol.
10%
21°C
$771 Wol.
46%
22°C
$775 Wol.
33%
23°C
$528 Wol.
7%
24°C
$143 Wol.
3%
25°C
$49 Wol.
1%
26°C
$49 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$110 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 13 settling near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly then southerly winds, and dew points around 20–21°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent humidity and a 20–30% chance of light rain or drizzle overnight further anchor minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with the recent cooler-than-normal early-September pattern across the Kanto region. Trader consensus at 46% for 21°C and 36.5% for 22°C reflects genuine model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official Tokyo station reading. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and the next model cycle will likely tighten the distribution before the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,678Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 13 settling near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly then southerly winds, and dew points around 20–21°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent humidity and a 20–30% chance of light rain or drizzle overnight further anchor minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with the recent cooler-than-normal early-September pattern across the Kanto region. Trader consensus at 46% for 21°C and 36.5% for 22°C reflects genuine model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official Tokyo station reading. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and the next model cycle will likely tighten the distribution before the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,678Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models show Tokyo's overnight low on September 13 settling near 21–22°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly then southerly winds, and dew points around 20–21°C that limit radiative cooling. Persistent humidity and a 20–30% chance of light rain or drizzle overnight further anchor minimum temperatures in this narrow band, consistent with the recent cooler-than-normal early-September pattern across the Kanto region. Trader consensus at 46% for 21°C and 36.5% for 22°C reflects genuine model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the official Tokyo station reading. Updated JMA short-range forecasts and the next model cycle will likely tighten the distribution before the 24-hour period ends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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