Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw will see mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms through August 21, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18°C. However, trader consensus has converged on 15–16°C as the most likely low, reflecting expectations of clearer intervals after midnight that could allow additional cooling under light winds and high humidity. Current surface observations show overnight lows holding around 19°C amid 100% cloud cover and light southerly flow, while ensemble guidance points to modest variability tied to exact timing of any clearing. The narrow spread between 14–16°C outcomes captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, with higher temperatures (17°C+) now carrying negligible implied probability given the persistent moisture and weak pressure gradient.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
30%
15°C
34%
16°C
59%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$100 Wol.
1%
13°C
$119 Wol.
2%
14°C
$75 Wol.
30%
15°C
$0 Wol.
34%
16°C
$36 Wol.
59%
17°C
$1,970 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$153 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$129 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$160 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw will see mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms through August 21, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18°C. However, trader consensus has converged on 15–16°C as the most likely low, reflecting expectations of clearer intervals after midnight that could allow additional cooling under light winds and high humidity. Current surface observations show overnight lows holding around 19°C amid 100% cloud cover and light southerly flow, while ensemble guidance points to modest variability tied to exact timing of any clearing. The narrow spread between 14–16°C outcomes captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, with higher temperatures (17°C+) now carrying negligible implied probability given the persistent moisture and weak pressure gradient.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,000Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw will see mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms through August 21, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18°C. However, trader consensus has converged on 15–16°C as the most likely low, reflecting expectations of clearer intervals after midnight that could allow additional cooling under light winds and high humidity. Current surface observations show overnight lows holding around 19°C amid 100% cloud cover and light southerly flow, while ensemble guidance points to modest variability tied to exact timing of any clearing. The narrow spread between 14–16°C outcomes captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, with higher temperatures (17°C+) now carrying negligible implied probability given the persistent moisture and weak pressure gradient.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,000Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw will see mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms through August 21, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18°C. However, trader consensus has converged on 15–16°C as the most likely low, reflecting expectations of clearer intervals after midnight that could allow additional cooling under light winds and high humidity. Current surface observations show overnight lows holding around 19°C amid 100% cloud cover and light southerly flow, while ensemble guidance points to modest variability tied to exact timing of any clearing. The narrow spread between 14–16°C outcomes captures uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, with higher temperatures (17°C+) now carrying negligible implied probability given the persistent moisture and weak pressure gradient.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania