Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election place Labour and National as the clear first- and second-placed parties on party vote, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens competing for third place under the MMP system that allocates seats proportionally. New Zealand First has posted its strongest sustained support in years, frequently reaching double digits and occasionally exceeding 15 percent in mid-2026 surveys, aided by its governing-coalition profile and targeted campaigning by Winston Peters. The Greens remain competitive in the low-to-mid teens but have shown some softening in recent months. ACT support hovers near 8 percent while smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori and the rising Opportunities Party sit near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for a top-three finish. These trends underpin trader consensus on the third-place outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.7%
National Party 1.7%
$13,696 Wol.
$13,696 Wol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
62%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
3%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.7%
National Party 1.7%
$13,696 Wol.
$13,696 Wol.
Nov 6, 2026
New Zealand First Party
$5,130 Wol.
62%
Green Party
$5,603 Wol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$709 Wol.
3%
National Party
$415 Wol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Wol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Wol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election place Labour and National as the clear first- and second-placed parties on party vote, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens competing for third place under the MMP system that allocates seats proportionally. New Zealand First has posted its strongest sustained support in years, frequently reaching double digits and occasionally exceeding 15 percent in mid-2026 surveys, aided by its governing-coalition profile and targeted campaigning by Winston Peters. The Greens remain competitive in the low-to-mid teens but have shown some softening in recent months. ACT support hovers near 8 percent while smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori and the rising Opportunities Party sit near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for a top-three finish. These trends underpin trader consensus on the third-place outcome.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,696Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election place Labour and National as the clear first- and second-placed parties on party vote, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens competing for third place under the MMP system that allocates seats proportionally. New Zealand First has posted its strongest sustained support in years, frequently reaching double digits and occasionally exceeding 15 percent in mid-2026 surveys, aided by its governing-coalition profile and targeted campaigning by Winston Peters. The Greens remain competitive in the low-to-mid teens but have shown some softening in recent months. ACT support hovers near 8 percent while smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori and the rising Opportunities Party sit near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for a top-three finish. These trends underpin trader consensus on the third-place outcome.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$13,696Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election place Labour and National as the clear first- and second-placed parties on party vote, leaving New Zealand First and the Greens competing for third place under the MMP system that allocates seats proportionally. New Zealand First has posted its strongest sustained support in years, frequently reaching double digits and occasionally exceeding 15 percent in mid-2026 surveys, aided by its governing-coalition profile and targeted campaigning by Winston Peters. The Greens remain competitive in the low-to-mid teens but have shown some softening in recent months. ACT support hovers near 8 percent while smaller parties such as Te Pāti Māori and the rising Opportunities Party sit near or below the five-percent threshold, limiting their prospects for a top-three finish. These trends underpin trader consensus on the third-place outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
52%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
41%
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania