Recent polling aggregates show Labour and National running neck-and-neck in the low 30s percent, with Labour holding a narrow edge in several July surveys ahead of the November 7 election. This tight race underpins trader pricing that places one of the two major parties first and the other second, with National carrying the higher implied probability of finishing second. Smaller parties remain at minimal odds for second place because New Zealand’s MMP system concentrates first- and second-place finishes between the largest vote-getters. Sustained economic concerns and modest declines in the governing coalition’s support have contributed to Labour’s polling recovery over the past several months, keeping the contest between the two main parties the dominant factor in current market positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 61%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party 1.9%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$15,752 Wol.
$15,752 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
61%
Labour Party
40%
New Zealand First Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 61%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party 1.9%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$15,752 Wol.
$15,752 Wol.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$8,190 Wol.
61%
Labour Party
$3,331 Wol.
40%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Wol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Wol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Wol.
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,228 Wol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show Labour and National running neck-and-neck in the low 30s percent, with Labour holding a narrow edge in several July surveys ahead of the November 7 election. This tight race underpins trader pricing that places one of the two major parties first and the other second, with National carrying the higher implied probability of finishing second. Smaller parties remain at minimal odds for second place because New Zealand’s MMP system concentrates first- and second-place finishes between the largest vote-getters. Sustained economic concerns and modest declines in the governing coalition’s support have contributed to Labour’s polling recovery over the past several months, keeping the contest between the two main parties the dominant factor in current market positioning.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,752Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling aggregates show Labour and National running neck-and-neck in the low 30s percent, with Labour holding a narrow edge in several July surveys ahead of the November 7 election. This tight race underpins trader pricing that places one of the two major parties first and the other second, with National carrying the higher implied probability of finishing second. Smaller parties remain at minimal odds for second place because New Zealand’s MMP system concentrates first- and second-place finishes between the largest vote-getters. Sustained economic concerns and modest declines in the governing coalition’s support have contributed to Labour’s polling recovery over the past several months, keeping the contest between the two main parties the dominant factor in current market positioning.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Wolumen
$15,752Data zakończenia
Nov 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show Labour and National running neck-and-neck in the low 30s percent, with Labour holding a narrow edge in several July surveys ahead of the November 7 election. This tight race underpins trader pricing that places one of the two major parties first and the other second, with National carrying the higher implied probability of finishing second. Smaller parties remain at minimal odds for second place because New Zealand’s MMP system concentrates first- and second-place finishes between the largest vote-getters. Sustained economic concerns and modest declines in the governing coalition’s support have contributed to Labour’s polling recovery over the past several months, keeping the contest between the two main parties the dominant factor in current market positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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Labour
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