The Sonora gubernatorial election scheduled for June 2027 remains wide open, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field and an unresolved Morena nomination contest. Recent polls show Morena holding a commanding lead in statewide preference at 42-53%, yet internal surveys from GobernArte, Enkoll, and others place Célida Teresa López Cárdenas, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Lorenia Valles Sampedro in a close three-way tie for the party nod. Opposition contenders such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, and Lilly Téllez García lead their respective parties but trail far behind in head-to-head scenarios. No major shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving uncertainty over final candidacies, coalition alignments, and potential late entrants as the primary factors sustaining the tight spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.3%
$38,157 Wol.
$38,157 Wol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 28%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.3%
$38,157 Wol.
$38,157 Wol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
28%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
4%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Sonora gubernatorial election scheduled for June 2027 remains wide open, with trader pricing reflecting a fragmented field and an unresolved Morena nomination contest. Recent polls show Morena holding a commanding lead in statewide preference at 42-53%, yet internal surveys from GobernArte, Enkoll, and others place Célida Teresa López Cárdenas, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Lorenia Valles Sampedro in a close three-way tie for the party nod. Opposition contenders such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, and Lilly Téllez García lead their respective parties but trail far behind in head-to-head scenarios. No major shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving uncertainty over final candidacies, coalition alignments, and potential late entrants as the primary factors sustaining the tight spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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