Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting around $1.75 trillion—subsequently raised above $2 trillion per reports—and robust secondary market demand valuing shares at $512 with a $1.21 trillion market cap as of April 17. This positioning stems from accelerated employee share vesting next week, site visits for institutional investors, and a planned early June roadshow backed by 21 underwriters under Project Apex, amid Starlink revenue momentum and xAI merger synergies. Lower brackets like $1.25-1.50 trillion (20%) draw from December's $800 billion tender offer, while upside tails account for launch cadence acceleration, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks temper extremes ahead of pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 16%
1.50-1.75T 14.2%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$126,957 Wol.
$126,957 Wol.
<1.25T
4%
1.25-1.50T
20%
1.50-1.75T
14%
1.75-2.00T
53%
2.00-2.25T
16%
2.25-2.50T
5%
2.50T+
3%
1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 16%
1.50-1.75T 14.2%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$126,957 Wol.
$126,957 Wol.
<1.25T
$58,779 Wol.
4%
1.25-1.50T
$15,898 Wol.
20%
1.50-1.75T
$8,031 Wol.
14%
1.75-2.00T
$11,059 Wol.
53%
2.00-2.25T
$13,142 Wol.
16%
2.25-2.50T
$9,747 Wol.
5%
2.50T+
$10,301 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting around $1.75 trillion—subsequently raised above $2 trillion per reports—and robust secondary market demand valuing shares at $512 with a $1.21 trillion market cap as of April 17. This positioning stems from accelerated employee share vesting next week, site visits for institutional investors, and a planned early June roadshow backed by 21 underwriters under Project Apex, amid Starlink revenue momentum and xAI merger synergies. Lower brackets like $1.25-1.50 trillion (20%) draw from December's $800 billion tender offer, while upside tails account for launch cadence acceleration, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks temper extremes ahead of pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$126,957Rynek otwarty
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting around $1.75 trillion—subsequently raised above $2 trillion per reports—and robust secondary market demand valuing shares at $512 with a $1.21 trillion market cap as of April 17. This positioning stems from accelerated employee share vesting next week, site visits for institutional investors, and a planned early June roadshow backed by 21 underwriters under Project Apex, amid Starlink revenue momentum and xAI merger synergies. Lower brackets like $1.25-1.50 trillion (20%) draw from December's $800 billion tender offer, while upside tails account for launch cadence acceleration, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks temper extremes ahead of pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$126,957Rynek otwarty
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability for SpaceX's IPO valuation landing in the $1.75-2.00 trillion range, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month targeting around $1.75 trillion—subsequently raised above $2 trillion per reports—and robust secondary market demand valuing shares at $512 with a $1.21 trillion market cap as of April 17. This positioning stems from accelerated employee share vesting next week, site visits for institutional investors, and a planned early June roadshow backed by 21 underwriters under Project Apex, amid Starlink revenue momentum and xAI merger synergies. Lower brackets like $1.25-1.50 trillion (20%) draw from December's $800 billion tender offer, while upside tails account for launch cadence acceleration, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risks temper extremes ahead of pricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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