SpaceX’s recent IPO filing and pricing guidance at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise ahead of an expected mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, anchors the 90.5% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. This marks a sharp step-up from the company’s $1.25 trillion self-valuation earlier this year and $800 billion insider round in late 2025, reflecting strong institutional demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and broader risk appetite for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets. Trader consensus prices in limited near-term volatility around the final offering size, though a sharp equity market correction or weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback could still shift final proceeds and push realized valuation outside the tight band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T 91%
1.50-1.75T 6.4%
2.00-2.25T 2.3%
2.25-2.50T 1.3%
$196,542 Wol.
$196,542 Wol.
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
1%
1.50-1.75T
6%
1.75-2.00T
91%
2.00-2.25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
1%
2.50T+
<1%
1.75-2.00T 91%
1.50-1.75T 6.4%
2.00-2.25T 2.3%
2.25-2.50T 1.3%
$196,542 Wol.
$196,542 Wol.
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
1%
1.50-1.75T
6%
1.75-2.00T
91%
2.00-2.25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
1%
2.50T+
<1%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent IPO filing and pricing guidance at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise ahead of an expected mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX, anchors the 90.5% implied probability on the 1.75-2.00T outcome. This marks a sharp step-up from the company’s $1.25 trillion self-valuation earlier this year and $800 billion insider round in late 2025, reflecting strong institutional demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and broader risk appetite for high-growth aerospace and satellite assets. Trader consensus prices in limited near-term volatility around the final offering size, though a sharp equity market correction or weaker-than-expected roadshow feedback could still shift final proceeds and push realized valuation outside the tight band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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