**Democratic prospects in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that the House will impeach President Trump before January 2029.** Republicans currently hold the chamber, which has allowed repeated efforts—such as Rep. Al Green’s H.Res. 1486 over immigration enforcement—to be tabled, most recently in a 232-147 vote on September 15 with some Democrats voting present. Polls indicate majority public support for impeachment proceedings on issues including executive actions and agency conduct. Traders price in a strong likelihood of Democratic gains in November that would create a majority capable of advancing articles, consistent with historical patterns under divided government. Low odds for near-term action reflect the current Republican majority and the narrow window before the midterms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
69% szansa
$102,747 Wol.
$102,747 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
69% szansa
$102,747 Wol.
$102,747 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that the House will impeach President Trump before January 2029.** Republicans currently hold the chamber, which has allowed repeated efforts—such as Rep. Al Green’s H.Res. 1486 over immigration enforcement—to be tabled, most recently in a 232-147 vote on September 15 with some Democrats voting present. Polls indicate majority public support for impeachment proceedings on issues including executive actions and agency conduct. Traders price in a strong likelihood of Democratic gains in November that would create a majority capable of advancing articles, consistent with historical patterns under divided government. Low odds for near-term action reflect the current Republican majority and the narrow window before the midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$102,747Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that the House will impeach President Trump before January 2029.** Republicans currently hold the chamber, which has allowed repeated efforts—such as Rep. Al Green’s H.Res. 1486 over immigration enforcement—to be tabled, most recently in a 232-147 vote on September 15 with some Democrats voting present. Polls indicate majority public support for impeachment proceedings on issues including executive actions and agency conduct. Traders price in a strong likelihood of Democratic gains in November that would create a majority capable of advancing articles, consistent with historical patterns under divided government. Low odds for near-term action reflect the current Republican majority and the narrow window before the midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$102,747Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Democratic prospects in the 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that the House will impeach President Trump before January 2029.** Republicans currently hold the chamber, which has allowed repeated efforts—such as Rep. Al Green’s H.Res. 1486 over immigration enforcement—to be tabled, most recently in a 232-147 vote on September 15 with some Democrats voting present. Polls indicate majority public support for impeachment proceedings on issues including executive actions and agency conduct. Traders price in a strong likelihood of Democratic gains in November that would create a majority capable of advancing articles, consistent with historical patterns under divided government. Low odds for near-term action reflect the current Republican majority and the narrow window before the midterms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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