Israel X Iran predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$30M Vol.

$82.2K today

$274K Liq.

283

Ends in 4 months

96%

September 15

$30M Vol.

$82.2K today

$274K Liq.

283

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$30M Vol.

$130K today

$152K Liq.

1,482

Ends in 18 days

98%

September 30

$30M Vol.

$130K today

$152K Liq.

1,482

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

$578K Vol.

$98.8K today

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

80%

September 25

$578K Vol.

$98.8K today

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$2M Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$662K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

91%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$662K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$547K Vol.

$274K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

31%

Steve Witkoff

$547K Vol.

$274K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$194K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$194K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran full airspace closure by...?

$9M Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

1,155

Ends in 4 months

23%

December 31

$9M Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

1,155

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Houthis

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

$198K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

September 30

$198K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

$1M Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

15%

October 31

$1M Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$482K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

91%

September 29

$482K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

$417K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$417K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

$366K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

25%

October 31

$366K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

$8M Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$8M Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

$98.1K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

September 30

$98.1K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Houthis

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

$184K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

September 30

$184K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$10.3K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

September 30

$10.3K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$238K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$238K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

$33.0K Vol.

$832 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$33.0K Vol.

$832 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

$542 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

94%

October 31

$542 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel X Iran.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Israel X Iran that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $90.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to September 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel X Iran predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Israel X Iran shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Israel closes its airspace by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Israel X Iran prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Israel X Iran prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Israel X Iran predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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How do Israel X Iran markets work on Polymarket?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Israel X Iran prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Israel X Iran markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Israel X Iran prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Israel X Iran predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Israel X Iran odds?

Can I track Israel X Iran predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Israel X Iran markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Israel X Iran predictions & odds