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Paxton predictions & odds

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Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

58%

Talarico & Paxton

$706K Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

2

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

17%

Paxton 6–9%

$57.9K Vol.

$62.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

40%

1.2–1.5M

$83.0K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

6%

$5.6K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

56%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$125K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

50%

No Announcement by June 30

$616K Vol.

$139K Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

56%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$138K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Royal Riders Punjab

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Royal Riders Punjab

50%

Royal Riders Punjab

$0 Vol.

$2 Liq.

T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Philippines vs Indonesia

T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Philippines vs Indonesia

50%

Indonesia

$0 Vol.

$153 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

88%

BOJONG

$56 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

20%

$27.0K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants

59%

Mumbai Indians

$1.1K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

58%

Nothing

$338K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

52%

Southern Super Stars

$946 Vol.

$5 Liq.

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings

86%

Gujarat Titans

$572K Vol.

$564K today

$81.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Netherlands Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Netherlands Women - Team Top Batter

-

$61 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars

50%

Southern Super Stars

$772 Vol.

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES

$293 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Maya Joint

Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Maya Joint

Noskova

$184K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Netherlands Women - Toss Match Double

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Netherlands Women - Toss Match Double

-

$81 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Paxton that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Texas Senate Election Matchup”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: March”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Paxton predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.