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icon for Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?
Mundo·Canadá

Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?

icon for Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?
Mundo·Canadá

Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$83,448 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$83,448 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s most recent federal election occurred on April 28, 2025, after Prime Minister Mark Carney advised dissolution, establishing the current Parliament with the next fixed-date vote required no later than October 15, 2029. No confidence motion, supply defeat, or public announcement of early dissolution has occurred in 2026, and recent by-elections plus polling show stable party standings without immediate pressure for a snap contest. Trader consensus at 99.6% for “No” reflects these structural timelines and absence of catalytic events within the narrow window. A sudden loss of House support or unforeseen leadership change could still prompt dissolution before June 30, though such developments remain unlikely on current evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$83,448
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s most recent federal election occurred on April 28, 2025, after Prime Minister Mark Carney advised dissolution, establishing the current Parliament with the next fixed-date vote required no later than October 15, 2029. No confidence motion, supply defeat, or public announcement of early dissolution has occurred in 2026, and recent by-elections plus polling show stable party standings without immediate pressure for a snap contest. Trader consensus at 99.6% for “No” reflects these structural timelines and absence of catalytic events within the narrow window. A sudden loss of House support or unforeseen leadership change could still prompt dissolution before June 30, though such developments remain unlikely on current evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$83,448
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outra eleição no Canadá convocada até 30 de junho?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?" has generated $83.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?" is "Outra eleição no Canadá convocada até 30 de junho?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Outra eleição no Canadá marcada para 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.