Canada's 46th Parliament features a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney that reached a slim majority following the 2025 election, reducing immediate pressure for an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules set the next general election no later than October 2029, though the governor general can dissolve Parliament earlier on the prime minister's advice if supply confidence falters or strategic advantage emerges. Recent polling averages show Liberals holding a narrow lead over Conservatives, while upcoming federal by-elections on August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer limited tests of voter sentiment without triggering broader dissolution. Trader pricing reflects the absence of acute triggers such as failed confidence votes, major scandals, or coalition breakdowns that historically prompt snap elections in minority parliaments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$92,321 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$92,321 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$664 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 46th Parliament features a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney that reached a slim majority following the 2025 election, reducing immediate pressure for an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules set the next general election no later than October 2029, though the governor general can dissolve Parliament earlier on the prime minister's advice if supply confidence falters or strategic advantage emerges. Recent polling averages show Liberals holding a narrow lead over Conservatives, while upcoming federal by-elections on August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer limited tests of voter sentiment without triggering broader dissolution. Trader pricing reflects the absence of acute triggers such as failed confidence votes, major scandals, or coalition breakdowns that historically prompt snap elections in minority parliaments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$92,321Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 46th Parliament features a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney that reached a slim majority following the 2025 election, reducing immediate pressure for an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules set the next general election no later than October 2029, though the governor general can dissolve Parliament earlier on the prime minister's advice if supply confidence falters or strategic advantage emerges. Recent polling averages show Liberals holding a narrow lead over Conservatives, while upcoming federal by-elections on August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer limited tests of voter sentiment without triggering broader dissolution. Trader pricing reflects the absence of acute triggers such as failed confidence votes, major scandals, or coalition breakdowns that historically prompt snap elections in minority parliaments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,321Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's 46th Parliament features a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney that reached a slim majority following the 2025 election, reducing immediate pressure for an early dissolution. Fixed-date rules set the next general election no later than October 2029, though the governor general can dissolve Parliament earlier on the prime minister's advice if supply confidence falters or strategic advantage emerges. Recent polling averages show Liberals holding a narrow lead over Conservatives, while upcoming federal by-elections on August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer limited tests of voter sentiment without triggering broader dissolution. Trader pricing reflects the absence of acute triggers such as failed confidence votes, major scandals, or coalition breakdowns that historically prompt snap elections in minority parliaments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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