Canada's 45th Parliament, elected in April 2025 under Prime Minister Mark Carney, operates under fixed-date rules that set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the Governor General may dissolve Parliament earlier on the Prime Minister's advice. As of August 2026, no confidence motion, supply defeat, or major crisis has forced an early call, and scheduled by-elections in three ridings on August 31 provide the nearest test of party standings and government support. Key variables shaping timing include the Liberals' seat margin, opposition coordination in the House, economic indicators that could prompt strategic dissolution, and any shifts in polling that alter the incentive for a snap vote versus waiting out the full term. Traders monitor these factors because an early call requires both parliamentary arithmetic and political calculation by the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$92,371 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$92,371 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$714 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 45th Parliament, elected in April 2025 under Prime Minister Mark Carney, operates under fixed-date rules that set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the Governor General may dissolve Parliament earlier on the Prime Minister's advice. As of August 2026, no confidence motion, supply defeat, or major crisis has forced an early call, and scheduled by-elections in three ridings on August 31 provide the nearest test of party standings and government support. Key variables shaping timing include the Liberals' seat margin, opposition coordination in the House, economic indicators that could prompt strategic dissolution, and any shifts in polling that alter the incentive for a snap vote versus waiting out the full term. Traders monitor these factors because an early call requires both parliamentary arithmetic and political calculation by the incumbent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 45th Parliament, elected in April 2025 under Prime Minister Mark Carney, operates under fixed-date rules that set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the Governor General may dissolve Parliament earlier on the Prime Minister's advice. As of August 2026, no confidence motion, supply defeat, or major crisis has forced an early call, and scheduled by-elections in three ridings on August 31 provide the nearest test of party standings and government support. Key variables shaping timing include the Liberals' seat margin, opposition coordination in the House, economic indicators that could prompt strategic dissolution, and any shifts in polling that alter the incentive for a snap vote versus waiting out the full term. Traders monitor these factors because an early call requires both parliamentary arithmetic and political calculation by the incumbent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's 45th Parliament, elected in April 2025 under Prime Minister Mark Carney, operates under fixed-date rules that set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, though the Governor General may dissolve Parliament earlier on the Prime Minister's advice. As of August 2026, no confidence motion, supply defeat, or major crisis has forced an early call, and scheduled by-elections in three ridings on August 31 provide the nearest test of party standings and government support. Key variables shaping timing include the Liberals' seat margin, opposition coordination in the House, economic indicators that could prompt strategic dissolution, and any shifts in polling that alter the incentive for a snap vote versus waiting out the full term. Traders monitor these factors because an early call requires both parliamentary arithmetic and political calculation by the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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