Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with the next fixed-date election required no later than October 15, 2029. An earlier contest remains possible if the government loses confidence or seeks a mandate amid shifting polls, vacant seats, or economic pressures. Speculation about a spring 2026 election rose early in the year on the back of Liberal polling strength and external factors, yet no writs were issued. Federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer the latest test of party standings without triggering a general vote. Trader assessments of near-term election calls reflect the minority’s current stability and the absence of immediate confidence threats or major opposition breakthroughs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$92,371 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
6%
$92,371 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$714 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with the next fixed-date election required no later than October 15, 2029. An earlier contest remains possible if the government loses confidence or seeks a mandate amid shifting polls, vacant seats, or economic pressures. Speculation about a spring 2026 election rose early in the year on the back of Liberal polling strength and external factors, yet no writs were issued. Federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer the latest test of party standings without triggering a general vote. Trader assessments of near-term election calls reflect the minority’s current stability and the absence of immediate confidence threats or major opposition breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with the next fixed-date election required no later than October 15, 2029. An earlier contest remains possible if the government loses confidence or seeks a mandate amid shifting polls, vacant seats, or economic pressures. Speculation about a spring 2026 election rose early in the year on the back of Liberal polling strength and external factors, yet no writs were issued. Federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer the latest test of party standings without triggering a general vote. Trader assessments of near-term election calls reflect the minority’s current stability and the absence of immediate confidence threats or major opposition breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$92,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with the next fixed-date election required no later than October 15, 2029. An earlier contest remains possible if the government loses confidence or seeks a mandate amid shifting polls, vacant seats, or economic pressures. Speculation about a spring 2026 election rose early in the year on the back of Liberal polling strength and external factors, yet no writs were issued. Federal by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, in three ridings offer the latest test of party standings without triggering a general vote. Trader assessments of near-term election calls reflect the minority’s current stability and the absence of immediate confidence threats or major opposition breakthroughs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions