No active criminal investigations or indictments target Bill Gates as of mid-June 2026, with recent congressional testimony on Jeffrey Epstein ties producing no accusations of wrongdoing and a committee chair explicitly stating otherwise. Ongoing civil matters, such as a Netherlands vaccine-related suit, involve no criminal charges or imminent resolutions. Traders assign 99.2% probability to "No" by the June 30 deadline due to the absence of pending proceedings, historical patterns of debunked rumors, and Gates' public schedule without legal disruptions. Realistic shifts could stem only from unforeseen late-breaking evidence in unrelated probes or sudden prosecutorial action, though both remain highly improbable within the narrow window.