Skip to main content
Market icon

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária

Market icon

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária

PB 99.0%

GERB–SDS <1%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$216,630 Vol.

PB 99.0%

GERB–SDS <1%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$216,630 Vol.

O Progressista Bulgária (PB) ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição parlamentar búlgara de 2026? icon

PB

$75,843 Vol.

99%

O GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

GERB–SDS

$35,441 Vol.

<1%

O Continuaremos a Mudança – Bulgária Democrática (PP–DB) vencerá com o maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

PP–DB

$34,287 Vol.

<1%

O Movimento pelos Direitos e Liberdades (DPS) ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

DPS

$4,252 Vol.

<1%

O Haverá Tal Povo (ITN) ganhará o maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

ITN

$11,889 Vol.

<1%

O Velichie vai conquistar o maior número de assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

Velichie

$15,738 Vol.

<1%

A Aliança para Direitos e Liberdades (APS) ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

APS

$11,608 Vol.

<1%

O BSP – Esquerda Unida vencerá com mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

BSP-Esquerda Unida

$7,898 Vol.

<1%

A Moralidade, Unidade, Honra (MECH) ganhará a maioria dos assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

MECH

$10,144 Vol.

<1%

Vazrazhdane ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares búlgaras de 2026? icon

Vazrazhdane

$9,543 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election due to consistent double-digit leads in final polls, with recent surveys like Market Links (April 14, PB 37%) and CAM (April 3-14, PB 32% projecting 90 seats) far ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-21%. Radev's anti-corruption platform resonates amid Bulgaria's political deadlock—the eighth snap vote since 2021—exacerbated by the prior government's resignation over budget disputes and graft allegations, under a mixed electoral system favoring larger parties. Recent stability in polling aggregates reflects voter fatigue with fragmented coalitions. Despite the 99% implied probability, late scandals, undecided voter swings (around 15-20%), or turnout surges could challenge PB's plurality in the 240-seat National Assembly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$216,630
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election due to consistent double-digit leads in final polls, with recent surveys like Market Links (April 14, PB 37%) and CAM (April 3-14, PB 32% projecting 90 seats) far ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-21%. Radev's anti-corruption platform resonates amid Bulgaria's political deadlock—the eighth snap vote since 2021—exacerbated by the prior government's resignation over budget disputes and graft allegations, under a mixed electoral system favoring larger parties. Recent stability in polling aggregates reflects voter fatigue with fragmented coalitions. Despite the 99% implied probability, late scandals, undecided voter swings (around 15-20%), or turnout surges could challenge PB's plurality in the 240-seat National Assembly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$216,630
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PB" at 99%, followed by "GERB–SDS" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária" has generated $216.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária" is "PB" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "GERB–SDS" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Bulgária" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.