Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture during a January 3, 2026, U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face drug trafficking, narco-terrorism, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have not yet formally sought bail. A March 26 status conference saw the court reject defense motions to dismiss the case, keeping pretrial detention in place amid an expected lengthy process that could extend beyond a year without a plea agreement. Key factors influencing trader views include the strength of the indictment evidence, any future bail applications, diplomatic negotiations over Venezuelan detainees, and scheduled hearings that could alter detention status before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?
A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?
$1,316,690 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
18%
$1,316,690 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$270,089 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture during a January 3, 2026, U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face drug trafficking, narco-terrorism, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have not yet formally sought bail. A March 26 status conference saw the court reject defense motions to dismiss the case, keeping pretrial detention in place amid an expected lengthy process that could extend beyond a year without a plea agreement. Key factors influencing trader views include the strength of the indictment evidence, any future bail applications, diplomatic negotiations over Venezuelan detainees, and scheduled hearings that could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,316,690Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture during a January 3, 2026, U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face drug trafficking, narco-terrorism, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have not yet formally sought bail. A March 26 status conference saw the court reject defense motions to dismiss the case, keeping pretrial detention in place amid an expected lengthy process that could extend beyond a year without a plea agreement. Key factors influencing trader views include the strength of the indictment evidence, any future bail applications, diplomatic negotiations over Venezuelan detainees, and scheduled hearings that could alter detention status before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,316,690Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her capture during a January 3, 2026, U.S. military operation in Caracas. She and Maduro face drug trafficking, narco-terrorism, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York; both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and have not yet formally sought bail. A March 26 status conference saw the court reject defense motions to dismiss the case, keeping pretrial detention in place amid an expected lengthy process that could extend beyond a year without a plea agreement. Key factors influencing trader views include the strength of the indictment evidence, any future bail applications, diplomatic negotiations over Venezuelan detainees, and scheduled hearings that could alter detention status before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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