Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado300-319 46%
280-299 24.4%
320-339 22.1%
340-359 5.7%
$10,061,352 Vol.
$10,061,352 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
24%
300-319
46%
320-339
22%
340-359
6%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 46%
280-299 24.4%
320-339 22.1%
340-359 5.7%
$10,061,352 Vol.
$10,061,352 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
$611,860 Vol.
1%
280-299
$435,789 Vol.
24%
300-319
$343,855 Vol.
46%
320-339
$446,222 Vol.
22%
340-359
$372,453 Vol.
6%
360-379
$393,115 Vol.
2%
380-399
$339,678 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$413,096 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,061,352Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,061,352Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions