Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 Elon Musk X posts from April 10-17 at 46% implied probability, reflecting his current tally of 267 posts through six days elapsed (averaging 45 daily per xTracker data synced April 16 morning), on pace for roughly 320 total but tempered by a recent slowdown from an initial burst of 172 in the first three days. This shift follows his typical high-engagement patterns—historically 30-50 posts per day amid SpaceX updates, Tesla news, and cultural commentary—but traders note quieter recent activity amid Tesla stock's 7.5% surge today potentially stabilizing his posting rhythm. With under 1.5 days remaining until resolution, any late spikes from breaking announcements could swing outcomes toward 320-339 (18%) or higher, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media trajectories.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado300-319 46%
280-299 24.9%
320-339 18.4%
340-359 5.7%
$9,928,794 Vol.
$9,928,794 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
25%
300-319
46%
320-339
18%
340-359
6%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 46%
280-299 24.9%
320-339 18.4%
340-359 5.7%
$9,928,794 Vol.
$9,928,794 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
$578,950 Vol.
1%
280-299
$427,344 Vol.
25%
300-319
$341,403 Vol.
46%
320-339
$442,479 Vol.
18%
340-359
$362,017 Vol.
6%
360-379
$381,354 Vol.
2%
380-399
$333,098 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$357,699 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 Elon Musk X posts from April 10-17 at 46% implied probability, reflecting his current tally of 267 posts through six days elapsed (averaging 45 daily per xTracker data synced April 16 morning), on pace for roughly 320 total but tempered by a recent slowdown from an initial burst of 172 in the first three days. This shift follows his typical high-engagement patterns—historically 30-50 posts per day amid SpaceX updates, Tesla news, and cultural commentary—but traders note quieter recent activity amid Tesla stock's 7.5% surge today potentially stabilizing his posting rhythm. With under 1.5 days remaining until resolution, any late spikes from breaking announcements could swing outcomes toward 320-339 (18%) or higher, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,928,794Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 Elon Musk X posts from April 10-17 at 46% implied probability, reflecting his current tally of 267 posts through six days elapsed (averaging 45 daily per xTracker data synced April 16 morning), on pace for roughly 320 total but tempered by a recent slowdown from an initial burst of 172 in the first three days. This shift follows his typical high-engagement patterns—historically 30-50 posts per day amid SpaceX updates, Tesla news, and cultural commentary—but traders note quieter recent activity amid Tesla stock's 7.5% surge today potentially stabilizing his posting rhythm. With under 1.5 days remaining until resolution, any late spikes from breaking announcements could swing outcomes toward 320-339 (18%) or higher, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,928,794Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 Elon Musk X posts from April 10-17 at 46% implied probability, reflecting his current tally of 267 posts through six days elapsed (averaging 45 daily per xTracker data synced April 16 morning), on pace for roughly 320 total but tempered by a recent slowdown from an initial burst of 172 in the first three days. This shift follows his typical high-engagement patterns—historically 30-50 posts per day amid SpaceX updates, Tesla news, and cultural commentary—but traders note quieter recent activity amid Tesla stock's 7.5% surge today potentially stabilizing his posting rhythm. With under 1.5 days remaining until resolution, any late spikes from breaking announcements could swing outcomes toward 320-339 (18%) or higher, underscoring the volatility of celebrity social media trajectories.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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