Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 16 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 16 de abril?
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Vol.
$102,217 Vol.
16 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,217 Vol.
$102,217 Vol.
16 abr 2026
14°C ou menos
$686 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,566 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,227 Vol.
Não
17°C
$3,932 Vol.
Não
18°C
$5,186 Vol.
Não
19°C
$17,060 Vol.
Não
20°C
$9,920 Vol.
Não
21°C
$27,084 Vol.
Sim
22°C
$12,491 Vol.
Não
23°C
$16,569 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$5,494 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$102,217Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,217Data de Término
16 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and Esenboğa Airport station confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 21°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with a sharp warming rebound—April 14 highs near 18°C escalated following early-month cool spells of 9–15°C—consistent with ECMWF and GFS model consensus projecting mid-20s peaks that materialized modestly. Mid-April climatology supports such highs around 17–18°C on average, with no significant deviations noted. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, though final measurements are typically binding for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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