Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 20°C (20%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (25%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration updates and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which cluster projected highs around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—persistent stratus from upstream moisture could cap temperatures at 20°C, while clearer breaks allow solar heating to push toward 22-23°C—and potential weak cold fronts, common in Chongqing's spring transition, introducing 1-2°C swings. Mid-April climatology at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station averages 22°C highs with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring this skin-in-the-game equilibrium. Daily model refreshes expected by April 11-12 may sharpen the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
21°C 30%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
7%
21°C 30%
22°C 25%
20°C 23%
23°C 10%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
25%
23°C
10%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 20°C (20%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (25%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration updates and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles, which cluster projected highs around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Key differentiators include cloud cover variability—persistent stratus from upstream moisture could cap temperatures at 20°C, while clearer breaks allow solar heating to push toward 22-23°C—and potential weak cold fronts, common in Chongqing's spring transition, introducing 1-2°C swings. Mid-April climatology at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station averages 22°C highs with a 2-3°C standard deviation, underscoring this skin-in-the-game equilibrium. Daily model refreshes expected by April 11-12 may sharpen the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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