Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (59% implied probability) at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—despite the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 15°C for April 11. Cool morning observations, with METAR reports showing 8°C amid mist and broken clouds, combined with persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating, have driven sentiment toward sub-13°C peaks, as a weak high-pressure ridge ushers continental cool air into the region. April climatology typically sees Seoul-area highs near 17°C, but cloudy analogs often cap peaks 3–5°C lower; hourly KMA updates and potential afternoon clearing remain key variables ahead of evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 11?
11°C 40.6%
12°C 37.4%
13°C 16.0%
14°C 2.6%
$214,557 Vol.
$214,557 Vol.
11 abr 2026
11°C
41%
12°C
37%
13°C
16%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 40.6%
12°C 37.4%
13°C 16.0%
14°C 2.6%
$214,557 Vol.
$214,557 Vol.
11 abr 2026
11°C
$32,267 Vol.
41%
12°C
$31,934 Vol.
37%
13°C
$24,336 Vol.
16%
14°C
$19,471 Vol.
3%
15°C
$17,458 Vol.
1%
16°C
$19,608 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$41,536 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (59% implied probability) at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—despite the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 15°C for April 11. Cool morning observations, with METAR reports showing 8°C amid mist and broken clouds, combined with persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating, have driven sentiment toward sub-13°C peaks, as a weak high-pressure ridge ushers continental cool air into the region. April climatology typically sees Seoul-area highs near 17°C, but cloudy analogs often cap peaks 3–5°C lower; hourly KMA updates and potential afternoon clearing remain key variables ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$214,557Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (59% implied probability) at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—despite the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 15°C for April 11. Cool morning observations, with METAR reports showing 8°C amid mist and broken clouds, combined with persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating, have driven sentiment toward sub-13°C peaks, as a weak high-pressure ridge ushers continental cool air into the region. April climatology typically sees Seoul-area highs near 17°C, but cloudy analogs often cap peaks 3–5°C lower; hourly KMA updates and potential afternoon clearing remain key variables ahead of evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$214,557Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 12°C (59% implied probability) at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolution station—despite the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aviation forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 15°C for April 11. Cool morning observations, with METAR reports showing 8°C amid mist and broken clouds, combined with persistent low-level cloud cover suppressing solar heating, have driven sentiment toward sub-13°C peaks, as a weak high-pressure ridge ushers continental cool air into the region. April climatology typically sees Seoul-area highs near 17°C, but cloudy analogs often cap peaks 3–5°C lower; hourly KMA updates and potential afternoon clearing remain key variables ahead of evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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