Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,382 Vol.
$201,382 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,382 Vol.
$201,382 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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