National Weather Service guidance for LaGuardia Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high temperature of 62°F on April 11 under sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 10-20 mph, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 57% implied probability. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means similarly cluster in the low 60s, reflecting a stable post-frontal continental airmass with mixing aloft limiting surface heating despite ample sunshine. Recent 00Z and 06Z model runs on April 11 show minimal divergence from prior forecasts issued April 10, aligning odds with climatological mid-April norms around 60°F while assigning low probabilities to extremes due to consistent cool advection. Hourly NOAA observations through afternoon peak will provide final clarity amid typical urban microclimate variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
62-63°F 57%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 15%
59°F or below 2.8%
$90,414 Vol.
$90,414 Vol.
11 abr 2026
59°F or below
3%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
57%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 57%
60-61°F 27%
64-65°F 15%
59°F or below 2.8%
$90,414 Vol.
$90,414 Vol.
11 abr 2026
59°F or below
$18,645 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$9,557 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$10,114 Vol.
57%
64-65°F
$6,577 Vol.
15%
66-67°F
$8,209 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5,583 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$7,519 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$6,378 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,427 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,930 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$8,504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for LaGuardia Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high temperature of 62°F on April 11 under sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 10-20 mph, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 57% implied probability. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means similarly cluster in the low 60s, reflecting a stable post-frontal continental airmass with mixing aloft limiting surface heating despite ample sunshine. Recent 00Z and 06Z model runs on April 11 show minimal divergence from prior forecasts issued April 10, aligning odds with climatological mid-April norms around 60°F while assigning low probabilities to extremes due to consistent cool advection. Hourly NOAA observations through afternoon peak will provide final clarity amid typical urban microclimate variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$90,414Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for LaGuardia Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high temperature of 62°F on April 11 under sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 10-20 mph, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 57% implied probability. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means similarly cluster in the low 60s, reflecting a stable post-frontal continental airmass with mixing aloft limiting surface heating despite ample sunshine. Recent 00Z and 06Z model runs on April 11 show minimal divergence from prior forecasts issued April 10, aligning odds with climatological mid-April norms around 60°F while assigning low probabilities to extremes due to consistent cool advection. Hourly NOAA observations through afternoon peak will provide final clarity amid typical urban microclimate variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,414Data de Término
11 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for LaGuardia Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high temperature of 62°F on April 11 under sunny skies and northwest winds gusting 10-20 mph, driving trader consensus toward 62-63°F at 57% implied probability. GFS and ECMWF ensemble means similarly cluster in the low 60s, reflecting a stable post-frontal continental airmass with mixing aloft limiting surface heating despite ample sunshine. Recent 00Z and 06Z model runs on April 11 show minimal divergence from prior forecasts issued April 10, aligning odds with climatological mid-April norms around 60°F while assigning low probabilities to extremes due to consistent cool advection. Hourly NOAA observations through afternoon peak will provide final clarity amid typical urban microclimate variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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