Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, reaching 24°C or below, anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with minimums at 9°C. This positioning stems from a recent cool air mass advection following yesterday's warmer 29°C high, corroborated by UK Met Office and international models like ECMWF showing limited solar heating amid partial cloud cover observed at Beijing stations. Historical April averages hover at 20-22°C, aligning with current patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies enabling unexpected convective warming, though low likelihood as diurnal peak nears; official end-of-day observations from Beijing Observatory will confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 11?
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,934 Vol.
$96,934 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,934 Vol.
$96,934 Vol.
24°C or below
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, reaching 24°C or below, anchored by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with minimums at 9°C. This positioning stems from a recent cool air mass advection following yesterday's warmer 29°C high, corroborated by UK Met Office and international models like ECMWF showing limited solar heating amid partial cloud cover observed at Beijing stations. Historical April averages hover at 20-22°C, aligning with current patterns. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies enabling unexpected convective warming, though low likelihood as diurnal peak nears; official end-of-day observations from Beijing Observatory will confirm resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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