Japan Meteorological Agency observational data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C reached in the late afternoon of April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds favoring daytime heating without excessive intensification. This aligns with spring climatology for Tokyo, where April highs typically average 19–23°C but occasionally peak at 25°C amid high-pressure influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty as the diurnal temperature cycle wanes post-sunset, with evening cooling expected. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 26°C, improbable given current model outputs from JMA and declining solar insolation, though final 00:00 JST observations will seal resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
$232,434 Vol.
$232,434 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
$232,434 Vol.
$232,434 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency observational data from Tokyo's Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C reached in the late afternoon of April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds favoring daytime heating without excessive intensification. This aligns with spring climatology for Tokyo, where April highs typically average 19–23°C but occasionally peak at 25°C amid high-pressure influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty as the diurnal temperature cycle wanes post-sunset, with evening cooling expected. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-day heat burst exceeding 26°C, improbable given current model outputs from JMA and declining solar insolation, though final 00:00 JST observations will seal resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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